Vitoria vs Santos — prediction & result
Vitoria vs Santos — Brasileirão Serie A.
Kick-off: 2026-11-29T21:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Vitoria 36%, draw 27%, Santos 38%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 1-0 (11%).
The model gives the home side a 35.8% chance, the draw 26.7% and the away side 37.6% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 51% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 24% with both teams scoring at 50% (expected goals 1.20 vs 1.24).
Brasileirão Serie A · Vitoria · Santos · Today's matches