Chelsea vs Crystal Palace — prediction & result
Chelsea vs Crystal Palace — Premier League.
Kick-off: 2026-12-02T20:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Chelsea 52%, draw 21%, Crystal Palace 26%.
Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%).
The model gives the home side a 52.5% chance, the draw 21.1% and the away side 26.4% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 2:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 38% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 46% with both teams scoring at 66% (expected goals 2.09 vs 1.42).
Premier League · Chelsea · Crystal Palace · Today's matches