Real Sociedad vs Sevilla — prediction & result
Real Sociedad vs Sevilla — La Liga.
Kick-off: 2026-11-29T16:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Real Sociedad 34%, draw 24%, Sevilla 43%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%).
The model gives the home side a 33.7% chance, the draw 23.8% and the away side 42.5% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 43% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 35% with both teams scoring at 60% (expected goals 1.40 vs 1.60).
La Liga · Real Sociedad · Sevilla · Today's matches