Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr — prediction & result
Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr — Pro League.
Kick-off: 2026-11-05T17:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Al-Hazm 27%, draw 24%, Al-Nassr 49%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%).
The model gives the home side a 26.5% chance, the draw 24.0% and the away side 49.5% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 47% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 31% with both teams scoring at 55% (expected goals 1.13 vs 1.64).
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