China vs Bahrain — prediction & result
China vs Bahrain — Friendlies.
Kick-off: 2026-11-17T12:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: China 27%, draw 37%, Bahrain 36%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-0 (24%), 0-1 (19%), 1-0 (16%).
The model gives the home side a 27.4% chance, the draw 37.0% and the away side 35.6% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 78% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 7% with both teams scoring at 25% (expected goals 0.63 vs 0.76).
China · Bahrain · Today's matches