Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC — prediction & result
Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC — K League 1.
Kick-off: 2026-11-07T05:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Jeju United FC 36%, draw 29%, Gwangju FC 35%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (18%), 1-0 (17%), 0-0 (16%).
The model gives the home side a 35.8% chance, the draw 28.7% and the away side 35.5% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 71% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 23% with both teams scoring at 33% (expected goals 0.91 vs 0.75).
K League 1 · Jeju United FC · Gwangju FC · Today's matches