Toulouse vs Rennes — prediction & result
Toulouse vs Rennes — Ligue 1.
Kick-off: 2026-11-29T16:15:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Toulouse 29%, draw 23%, Rennes 48%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%).
The model gives the home side a 29.2% chance, the draw 22.6% and the away side 48.2% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 41% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 39% with both teams scoring at 62% (expected goals 1.37 vs 1.83).
Ligue 1 · Toulouse · Rennes · Today's matches