Frosinone vs Parma — prediction & result
Frosinone vs Parma — Serie A.
Kick-off: 2026-11-29T17:30:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Frosinone 82%, draw 14%, Parma 5%.
Most likely scorelines: 2-0 (19%), 1-0 (16%), 3-0 (15%).
The model gives the home side a 81.8% chance, the draw 13.6% and the away side 4.6% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 2:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 65% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 43% with both teams scoring at 29% (expected goals 2.37 vs 0.38).
Serie A · Frosinone · Parma · Today's matches