Brentford vs Arsenal — prediction & result
Brentford vs Arsenal — Premier League.
Kick-off: 2026-12-02T20:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Brentford 35%, draw 33%, Arsenal 31%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-0 (18%), 1-0 (17%), 0-1 (15%).
The model gives the home side a 35.4% chance, the draw 33.5% and the away side 31.1% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 70% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 10% with both teams scoring at 32% (expected goals 0.86 vs 0.79).
Premier League · Brentford · Arsenal · Today's matches