Preston vs Sheffield Utd — prediction & result
Preston vs Sheffield Utd — Championship.
Kick-off: 2026-11-03T19:45:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Preston 55%, draw 22%, Sheffield Utd 23%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (18%), 2-0 (13%), 0-1 (11%).
The model gives the home side a 54.5% chance, the draw 22.4% and the away side 23.1% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 64% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 33% with both teams scoring at 36% (expected goals 1.38 vs 0.63).
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