Cheltenham vs Rochdale — prediction & result
Cheltenham vs Rochdale — League Two.
Kick-off: 2026-12-01T19:45:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Cheltenham 44%, draw 24%, Rochdale 31%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%).
The model gives the home side a 44.4% chance, the draw 24.4% and the away side 31.2% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 45% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 31% with both teams scoring at 57% (expected goals 1.56 vs 1.27).
League Two · Cheltenham · Rochdale · Today's matches