Burton Albion vs Wigan — prediction & result
Burton Albion vs Wigan — League One.
Kick-off: 2026-12-01T19:45:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Burton Albion 51%, draw 29%, Wigan 20%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (19%), 0-0 (14%), 1-1 (12%).
The model gives the home side a 50.9% chance, the draw 28.9% and the away side 20.3% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 66% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 16% with both teams scoring at 35% (expected goals 1.25 vs 0.67).
League One · Burton Albion · Wigan · Today's matches