SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig — prediction & result
SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga.
Kick-off: 2026-11-29T14:30:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: SC Freiburg 72%, draw 15%, RB Leipzig 13%.
Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%).
The model gives the home side a 71.9% chance, the draw 15.4% and the away side 12.7% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 2:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 41% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% with both teams scoring at 63% (expected goals 2.87 vs 1.11).
Bundesliga · SC Freiburg · RB Leipzig · Today's matches