Excelsior vs Telstar — prediction & result
Excelsior vs Telstar — Eredivisie.
Kick-off: 2026-11-28T15:30:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Excelsior 38%, draw 30%, Telstar 32%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (13%).
The model gives the home side a 38.0% chance, the draw 29.8% and the away side 32.2% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 61% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 16% with both teams scoring at 40% (expected goals 1.05 vs 0.95).
Eredivisie · Excelsior · Telstar · Today's matches