Sparta Praha vs AZ Alkmaar — prediction & result
Sparta Praha vs AZ Alkmaar — UEFA Europa League.
Kick-off: 2026-11-26T20:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Sparta Praha 27%, draw 29%, AZ Alkmaar 44%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (16%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (13%).
The model gives the home side a 26.7% chance, the draw 29.2% and the away side 44.1% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 62% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 16% with both teams scoring at 39% (expected goals 0.84 vs 1.17).
UEFA Europa League · Sparta Praha · AZ Alkmaar · Today's matches