Peru vs Bolivia — prediction & result
Peru vs Bolivia — Friendlies.
Kick-off: 2026-11-13T21:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Peru 41%, draw 27%, Bolivia 32%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 0-1 (10%).
The model gives the home side a 41.4% chance, the draw 26.9% and the away side 31.6% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 52% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 22% with both teams scoring at 48% (expected goals 1.29 vs 1.09).
Peru · Bolivia · Today's matches