Bournemouth vs Brighton — prediction & result
Bournemouth vs Brighton — Premier League.
Kick-off: 2026-12-02T20:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Bournemouth 43%, draw 29%, Brighton 28%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%).
The model gives the home side a 42.7% chance, the draw 29.2% and the away side 28.1% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 61% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 16% with both teams scoring at 40% (expected goals 1.16 vs 0.88).
Premier League · Bournemouth · Brighton · Today's matches