Santos vs Botafogo — prediction & result
Santos vs Botafogo — Brasileirão Serie A.
Kick-off: 2026-12-02T21:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Santos 49%, draw 23%, Botafogo 28%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%).
The model gives the home side a 48.6% chance, the draw 23.0% and the away side 28.4% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 43% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 36% with both teams scoring at 60% (expected goals 1.77 vs 1.29).
Brasileirão Serie A · Santos · Botafogo · Today's matches