MVV vs Dordrecht — prediction & result
MVV vs Dordrecht — Eerste Divisie.
Kick-off: 2026-12-04T19:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: MVV 37%, draw 29%, Dordrecht 34%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (13%).
The model gives the home side a 37.2% chance, the draw 29.3% and the away side 33.5% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 59% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 17% with both teams scoring at 42% (expected goals 1.07 vs 1.00).
MVV · Dordrecht · Today's matches