Boulogne vs PAU — prediction & result
Boulogne vs PAU — Ligue 2.
Kick-off: 2026-12-04T19:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Boulogne 31%, draw 25%, PAU 44%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%).
The model gives the home side a 31.1% chance, the draw 25.3% and the away side 43.6% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 48% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 28% with both teams scoring at 53% (expected goals 1.18 vs 1.46).
Ligue 2 · Boulogne · PAU · Today's matches