Liverpool vs Sunderland — prediction & result
Liverpool vs Sunderland — Premier League.
Kick-off: 2026-12-02T20:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Liverpool 40%, draw 24%, Sunderland 36%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%).
The model gives the home side a 40.2% chance, the draw 23.7% and the away side 36.1% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 42% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 36% with both teams scoring at 61% (expected goals 1.57 vs 1.48).
Premier League · Liverpool · Sunderland · Today's matches