Millwall vs Burnley — prediction & result
Millwall vs Burnley — Championship.
Kick-off: 2026-11-28T15:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Millwall 64%, draw 19%, Burnley 17%.
Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 1-1 (9%).
The model gives the home side a 63.9% chance, the draw 19.1% and the away side 17.0% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 2:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 44% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 45% with both teams scoring at 58% (expected goals 2.26 vs 1.06).
Championship · Millwall · Burnley · Today's matches