SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs MSV Duisburg — prediction & result
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs MSV Duisburg — 3. Liga.
Kick-off: 2026-11-28T15:30:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 19%, draw 23%, MSV Duisburg 58%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (11%).
The model gives the home side a 18.7% chance, the draw 23.2% and the away side 58.1% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 53% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 29% with both teams scoring at 47% (expected goals 0.85 vs 1.71).
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach · MSV Duisburg · Today's matches