Corinthians vs Gremio — prediction & result
Corinthians vs Gremio — Brasileirão Serie A.
Kick-off: 2026-11-29T21:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Corinthians 39%, draw 36%, Gremio 25%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-0 (23%), 1-0 (20%), 0-1 (15%).
The model gives the home side a 39.1% chance, the draw 36.3% and the away side 24.6% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 78% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 7% with both teams scoring at 25% (expected goals 0.83 vs 0.59).
Brasileirão Serie A · Corinthians · Gremio · Today's matches