NEC Nijmegen vs Twente — prediction & result
NEC Nijmegen vs Twente — Eredivisie.
Kick-off: 2026-11-29T19:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: NEC Nijmegen 24%, draw 23%, Twente 53%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%).
The model gives the home side a 24.0% chance, the draw 22.7% and the away side 53.3% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 45% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 35% with both teams scoring at 57% (expected goals 1.13 vs 1.81).
Eredivisie · NEC Nijmegen · Twente · Today's matches