Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-pulse — prediction & result
Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-pulse — J1 League.
Kick-off: 2026-11-25T10:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Fagiano Okayama 46%, draw 28%, Shimizu S-pulse 25%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (16%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%).
The model gives the home side a 46.1% chance, the draw 28.4% and the away side 25.5% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 61% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 18% with both teams scoring at 40% (expected goals 1.24 vs 0.84).
J1 League · Fagiano Okayama · Shimizu S-pulse · Today's matches