Aston Villa vs Everton — prediction & result
Aston Villa vs Everton — Premier League.
Kick-off: 2026-12-02T20:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Aston Villa 57%, draw 22%, Everton 21%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%).
The model gives the home side a 57.3% chance, the draw 22.1% and the away side 20.6% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 48% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 34% with both teams scoring at 54% (expected goals 1.86 vs 1.01).
Premier League · Aston Villa · Everton · Today's matches