Fakel vs Spartak Moscow — prediction & result
Fakel vs Spartak Moscow — Premier League.
Kick-off: 2026-11-30T16:30:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Fakel 16%, draw 29%, Spartak Moscow 55%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (22%), 0-0 (16%), 0-2 (13%).
The model gives the home side a 15.8% chance, the draw 29.0% and the away side 55.2% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 71% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 15% with both teams scoring at 29% (expected goals 0.53 vs 1.25).
Fakel · Spartak Moscow · Today's matches