Mallorca vs Castellón — prediction & result
Mallorca vs Castellón — Segunda División.
Kick-off: 2026-11-29T16:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Mallorca 44%, draw 30%, Castellón 27%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (16%), 0-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%).
The model gives the home side a 43.5% chance, the draw 29.8% and the away side 26.6% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 64% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 15% with both teams scoring at 38% (expected goals 1.13 vs 0.81).
La Liga 2 · Mallorca · Castellón · Today's matches