Celta Vigo vs Villarreal — prediction & result
Celta Vigo vs Villarreal — La Liga.
Kick-off: 2026-11-29T16:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Celta Vigo 31%, draw 25%, Villarreal 45%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%).
The model gives the home side a 30.6% chance, the draw 24.8% and the away side 44.7% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 47% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 30% with both teams scoring at 55% (expected goals 1.21 vs 1.52).
La Liga · Celta Vigo · Villarreal · Today's matches