Fiorentina vs Juventus — prediction & result
Fiorentina vs Juventus — Serie A.
Kick-off: 2026-11-08T19:45:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Fiorentina 19%, draw 32%, Juventus 49%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (22%), 0-0 (19%), 0-2 (12%).
The model gives the home side a 19.0% chance, the draw 32.0% and the away side 49.0% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 0:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 74% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 11% with both teams scoring at 28% (expected goals 0.55 vs 1.08).
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