England U21 vs Portugal U21 — prediction & result
England U21 vs Portugal U21 — Friendlies.
Kick-off: 2026-11-13T19:30:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: England U21 19%, draw 25%, Portugal U21 56%.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (14%), 1-2 (14%), 1-1 (12%).
The model gives the home side a 19.3% chance, the draw 25.0% and the away side 55.7% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 46% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 32% with both teams scoring at 56% (expected goals 1.68 vs 1.18).
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