Fluminense vs Cruzeiro — prediction & result
Fluminense vs Cruzeiro — Brasileirão Serie A.
Kick-off: 2026-11-29T21:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Fluminense 40%, draw 25%, Cruzeiro 35%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 0-1 (9%).
The model gives the home side a 39.9% chance, the draw 25.4% and the away side 34.7% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 47% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 28% with both teams scoring at 54% (expected goals 1.39 vs 1.28).
Brasileirão Serie A · Fluminense · Cruzeiro · Today's matches