Sheffield Utd vs Southampton — prediction & result
Sheffield Utd vs Southampton — Championship.
Kick-off: 2026-11-24T19:45:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Sheffield Utd 20%, draw 21%, Southampton 59%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%).
The model gives the home side a 19.7% chance, the draw 21.4% and the away side 58.9% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:2 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 47% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 37% with both teams scoring at 55% (expected goals 1.03 vs 1.96).
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