Accrington ST vs Crewe — prediction & result
Accrington ST vs Crewe — League Two.
Kick-off: 2026-12-01T19:45:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Accrington ST 56%, draw 25%, Crewe 20%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (15%), 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%).
The model gives the home side a 55.7% chance, the draw 24.6% and the away side 19.7% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 56% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 25% with both teams scoring at 44% (expected goals 1.58 vs 0.82).
League Two · Accrington ST · Crewe · Today's matches