Marseille vs Levski Sofia — prediction & result
Marseille vs Levski Sofia — UEFA Europa League.
Kick-off: 2026-11-26T17:45:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Marseille 45%, draw 25%, Levski Sofia 30%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%).
The model gives the home side a 45.1% chance, the draw 24.6% and the away side 30.3% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 46% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 30% with both teams scoring at 55% (expected goals 1.55 vs 1.22).
UEFA Europa League · Marseille · Levski Sofia · Today's matches