Lyon vs Lillestrom — prediction & result
Lyon vs Lillestrom — UEFA Europa League.
Kick-off: 2026-11-26T20:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Lyon 47%, draw 27%, Lillestrom 26%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (12%), 0-0 (10%).
The model gives the home side a 47.2% chance, the draw 27.2% and the away side 25.7% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 56% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 20% with both teams scoring at 44% (expected goals 1.34 vs 0.90).
UEFA Europa League · Lyon · Lillestrom · Today's matches