1899 Hoffenheim vs Sturm Graz — prediction & result
1899 Hoffenheim vs Sturm Graz — UEFA Europa League.
Kick-off: 2026-11-26T20:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: 1899 Hoffenheim 36%, draw 24%, Sturm Graz 39%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%).
The model gives the home side a 36.4% chance, the draw 24.3% and the away side 39.3% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 44% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 33% with both teams scoring at 59% (expected goals 1.42 vs 1.49).
UEFA Europa League · 1899 Hoffenheim · Sturm Graz · Today's matches