Incheon United vs Ulsan Hyundai FC — prediction & result
Incheon United vs Ulsan Hyundai FC — K League 1.
Kick-off: 2026-11-21T07:30:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Incheon United 54%, draw 26%, Ulsan Hyundai FC 20%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (16%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%).
The model gives the home side a 53.6% chance, the draw 26.1% and the away side 20.3% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 58% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 22% with both teams scoring at 41% (expected goals 1.45 vs 0.78).
K League 1 · Incheon United · Ulsan Hyundai FC · Today's matches