Lyon vs Monaco — prediction & result
Lyon vs Monaco — Ligue 1.
Kick-off: 2026-11-29T19:45:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Lyon 50%, draw 21%, Monaco 28%.
Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%).
The model gives the home side a 50.2% chance, the draw 21.4% and the away side 28.5% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 2:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 38% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 46% with both teams scoring at 68% (expected goals 2.05 vs 1.49).
Ligue 1 · Lyon · Monaco · Today's matches