Everton vs Liverpool — prediction & result
Everton vs Liverpool — Premier League.
Kick-off: 2026-11-29T12:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Everton 21%, draw 20%, Liverpool 59%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (8%).
The model gives the home side a 21.1% chance, the draw 19.6% and the away side 59.3% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:2 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 39% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 49% with both teams scoring at 66% (expected goals 1.30 vs 2.31).
Premier League · Everton · Liverpool · Today's matches