Fleetwood Town vs Accrington ST — prediction & result
Fleetwood Town vs Accrington ST — League Two.
Kick-off: 2026-11-28T15:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Fleetwood Town 39%, draw 27%, Accrington ST 34%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%).
The model gives the home side a 39.2% chance, the draw 27.0% and the away side 33.8% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 52% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 22% with both teams scoring at 48% (expected goals 1.25 vs 1.14).
League Two · Fleetwood Town · Accrington ST · Today's matches