Shrewsbury vs Cheltenham — prediction & result
Shrewsbury vs Cheltenham — League Two.
Kick-off: 2026-11-28T15:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Shrewsbury 42%, draw 27%, Cheltenham 31%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 0-1 (10%).
The model gives the home side a 42.4% chance, the draw 26.9% and the away side 30.7% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 53% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 22% with both teams scoring at 48% (expected goals 1.30 vs 1.06).
League Two · Shrewsbury · Cheltenham · Today's matches