Valladolid vs Real Sociedad II — prediction & result
Valladolid vs Real Sociedad II — Segunda División.
Kick-off: 2026-11-29T16:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Valladolid 58%, draw 23%, Real Sociedad II 19%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%).
The model gives the home side a 57.9% chance, the draw 23.3% and the away side 18.8% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 53% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 29% with both teams scoring at 47% (expected goals 1.71 vs 0.85).
La Liga 2 · Valladolid · Real Sociedad II · Today's matches