Russia vs Venezuela — prediction & result
Russia vs Venezuela — Friendlies.
Kick-off: 2026-11-17T17:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Russia 48%, draw 34%, Venezuela 18%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (23%), 0-0 (22%), 2-0 (12%).
The model gives the home side a 48.3% chance, the draw 33.9% and the away side 17.9% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 78% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 9% with both teams scoring at 24% (expected goals 1.00 vs 0.48).
Russia · Venezuela · Today's matches