Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County — prediction & result
Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County — League One.
Kick-off: 2026-11-28T12:30:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Milton Keynes Dons 58%, draw 24%, Notts County 18%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (16%), 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%).
The model gives the home side a 57.9% chance, the draw 24.3% and the away side 17.8% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 58% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 25% with both teams scoring at 42% (expected goals 1.59 vs 0.75).
League One · Milton Keynes Dons · Notts County · Today's matches