Waalwijk vs Jong AZ — prediction & result
Waalwijk vs Jong AZ — Eerste Divisie.
Kick-off: 2026-12-04T19:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Waalwijk 60%, draw 18%, Jong AZ 22%.
Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%).
The model gives the home side a 59.8% chance, the draw 18.2% and the away side 22.0% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 2:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 35% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% with both teams scoring at 75% (expected goals 2.77 vs 1.62).
Waalwijk · Jong AZ · Today's matches