Montpellier vs Nantes — prediction & result
Montpellier vs Nantes — Ligue 2.
Kick-off: 2026-12-04T19:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Montpellier 53%, draw 30%, Nantes 17%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (22%), 0-0 (17%), 2-0 (13%).
The model gives the home side a 53.1% chance, the draw 30.2% and the away side 16.7% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 73% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 13% with both teams scoring at 28% (expected goals 1.18 vs 0.53).
Ligue 2 · Montpellier · Nantes · Today's matches