Kashima vs Fagiano Okayama — prediction & result
Kashima vs Fagiano Okayama — J1 League.
Kick-off: 2026-11-28T06:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Kashima 67%, draw 19%, Fagiano Okayama 14%.
Most likely scorelines: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-1 (10%).
The model gives the home side a 67.2% chance, the draw 19.2% and the away side 13.6% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 2:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 52% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 38% with both teams scoring at 49% (expected goals 2.10 vs 0.81).
J1 League · Kashima · Fagiano Okayama · Today's matches