ST Johnstone vs ST Mirren — prediction & result
ST Johnstone vs ST Mirren — Premiership.
Kick-off: 2026-12-02T19:45:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: ST Johnstone 44%, draw 30%, ST Mirren 26%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (17%), 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%).
The model gives the home side a 43.9% chance, the draw 30.4% and the away side 25.7% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 66% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 14% with both teams scoring at 36% (expected goals 1.11 vs 0.77).
ST Johnstone · ST Mirren · Today's matches